CENTRAL COUNT THEORY
My Central
Point Theory has great influenced in almost all area of human endeavor. One of
the aspect I am much Concern today is to estimate a rate ratio associated
with a predictor or exposures x1.
The
dependent variables x2, x3,
x4, …., xr are count of occurrence of interest. The
relationship between the single predictor or exposure x1 and response
variable x2, x3, x4,
…., xr is;
X2=eα*eβ1x1
X3=eα*eβ1x1*eβ2x2
X4=eα*eβ1x1*eβ2x2*eβ3x3
…………………………………………………….
Xr= eα*eβ1x1*eβ2x2*eβ3x3*…*eβi-1xi-1*…*eβr-1xr-1
Where α and
βi-1 are constants. In this theory we should be able to hypothesize
the exact count of occurrence of interests x2, x3, x4,……,
xr, provided the single predictor x1 is known.
Considered a
cohort of subjects, some non-smokers was observed for several years. The numbers
of cases of cancer of the lung diagnosed among smoking were also obtained from
each individual, for each category the person-years of observation. Using the Central
Count Theory, we can investigate to address the question of the relative
risk of smoking.
|
Cigarette Per Day
|
No. Years Smoking
|
Person Years
|
Cases
|
|
20
|
15
|
5683
|
0
|
|
20
|
25
|
5483
|
1
|
|
27
|
15
|
3042
|
0
|
|
27
|
25
|
4290
|
4
|
|
40
|
15
|
670
|
0
|
|
40
|
25
|
1482
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
|
EFERENCE
*Adongo Ayine William(Me), Diary(or Weblog), "2012/2013 Academic Year Project"
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